3 Types of Products That Will Make Money Online Even in Recession
Online Business

3 Types of Products That Will Make Money Online Even in Recession

Why some digital products thrive when the economy tanks — and how automation might be sabotaging your ability to create them

The Uncomfortable Truth About Recession-Proof Products

Economic downturns have a peculiar way of separating genuinely valuable products from those riding the wave of easy money. When budgets tighten, consumers become ruthless editors of their spending. They cut the nice-to-haves and protect the need-to-haves with almost religious devotion.

I’ve watched three recessions unfold from the perspective of someone building digital products. Each time, the same pattern emerges. Some creators panic. Others quietly continue earning. The difference isn’t luck or timing. It’s product category selection.

But here’s what nobody talks about: the very tools we use to build these products might be degrading our ability to create truly recession-proof offerings. We’ve outsourced so much thinking to automation that many of us couldn’t evaluate market opportunities without our dashboards telling us what to think.

My cat, a British lilac named Oscar, just walked across my keyboard. He doesn’t care about recessions. He cares about food appearing in his bowl at predictable intervals. There’s something instructive in that simplicity — recession-proof products share a similar quality. They solve problems that don’t disappear when stock markets crash.

Product Category One: Educational Content That Builds Specific Skills

When economies contract, people invest in themselves. Not in vague self-improvement, but in concrete skills that make them more employable or entrepreneurial. This pattern held in 2008, 2020, and every downturn between.

The key word is “specific.” Generic courses about productivity or mindset sell poorly during recessions. Courses teaching people how to do bookkeeping, write legal contracts, repair appliances, or manage rental properties sell consistently.

Why? Because these skills have immediate economic utility. Someone who loses their job at a corporation can hang a shingle and offer bookkeeping services within weeks. The course pays for itself almost immediately.

The automation problem emerges when we examine how most people create educational content today. They use AI to generate outlines. They use AI to write scripts. They use AI to create quizzes. At each step, they’re delegating the thinking that would have forced them to deeply understand their subject matter.

I’ve reviewed dozens of courses created with heavy AI assistance. They share a distinctive quality: technically accurate but experientially hollow. The creator hasn’t struggled through the material themselves. They haven’t developed the intuition that comes from teaching humans who ask unexpected questions.

This matters because recession buyers are sophisticated buyers. They’ve been burned before. They can smell thin content from the first module. Your refund rates will tell the story your sales page conceals.

The creators who thrive during downturns are those who maintained their expertise through practice, not those who manufactured expertise through prompts. They can answer questions their AI tools never anticipated. They can adjust explanations based on subtle cues from students. They possess what we might call “teaching intuition” — the ability to sense confusion before it’s expressed.

The Skill Erosion Problem in Course Creation

Consider the typical course creation workflow in 2026. A creator identifies a topic. They ask Claude or GPT to generate a comprehensive outline. They use the same tools to draft lesson scripts. They employ AI video editors to polish their delivery. They use automated email sequences to nurture leads.

At no point do they sit with blank paper and wrestle with structure. They never experience the productive frustration of organizing complex material for naive audiences. They skip the stage where deep understanding develops — the struggle itself.

I’m not suggesting we return to typewriters. But there’s a difference between using tools to execute ideas and using tools to generate ideas. The former preserves expertise. The latter erodes it.

The practical implication: if you want to create educational content that sells during recessions, you need to maintain real expertise in your subject. This means doing the work, not just describing the work. It means teaching live sessions where students can expose gaps in your knowledge. It means staying current through practice, not just research.

Oscar just yawned at me from his perch on the filing cabinet. He’s right. This is obvious. But obvious things become invisible when convenience makes them easy to ignore.

Product Category Two: Tools That Save Time on Necessary Tasks

People don’t stop doing laundry during recessions. They don’t stop filing taxes. They don’t stop managing projects or tracking expenses. Certain tasks remain necessary regardless of economic conditions.

Products that make these mandatory tasks faster or easier maintain demand when discretionary spending evaporates. A tool that saves a freelancer two hours per week on invoicing is recession-proof. A tool that helps someone organize their job search is recession-proof. A tool that automates backup for important documents is recession-proof.

The common thread: these tools address tasks people must do, not tasks people want to do. When money gets tight, “want” budgets disappear. “Must” budgets remain.

This sounds simple to identify. It isn’t. The challenge lies in distinguishing genuine necessity from perceived necessity. During boom times, everything feels necessary. The gym membership. The productivity app subscription. The meal planning service. Recession clarifies which necessities were actually luxuries in disguise.

Here’s where automation-induced skill erosion becomes dangerous. Modern product builders rely heavily on market research tools, keyword analyzers, and competitor intelligence platforms. These tools excel at identifying what people are searching for right now. They’re terrible at predicting what people will search for when their financial circumstances change.

Why Market Research Tools Fail During Economic Transitions

Market research automation creates a peculiar blindspot. It optimizes for current conditions with such precision that it can’t imagine different conditions. Every signal points toward continuing the present. The algorithms aren’t designed to model discontinuity.

Human judgment — the kind developed through years of watching markets shift — can recognize patterns that data hasn’t captured yet. Experienced entrepreneurs remember previous downturns. They recall which products held and which collapsed. They have, for lack of a better term, economic intuition.

This intuition develops through exposure to variation. If you’ve only built products during growth periods, you lack reference points for contraction periods. If you’ve relied on tools to interpret market signals rather than interpreting them yourself, you’ve never developed the pattern-recognition skills that intuition requires.

The entrepreneurs who consistently identify recession-proof opportunities share a characteristic: they spend significant time thinking about markets without tools open. They sit with questions before seeking answers. They develop hypotheses before testing them. They maintain the cognitive independence that automation makes increasingly rare.

I’m describing a meta-skill — the ability to think about tool-generated insights rather than simply accepting them. This skill atrophies quickly when we default to automation for analysis.

Product Category Three: Community and Connection Platforms

Recession psychology includes a component that economic analysis often overlooks: loneliness increases when financial stress increases. People withdraw from paid social activities. They cancel gym memberships, reduce dining out, skip recreational classes. The result is isolation precisely when social support matters most.

Products that provide community and connection at reasonable prices thrive during downturns. Online communities centered on specific interests. Membership sites with active forums. Group coaching programs where the group itself provides value. Discord servers with engaged moderation.

The economic logic is straightforward. A $50 monthly membership that provides genuine human connection delivers more perceived value than a $50 monthly tool subscription. During recessions, emotional ROI competes favorably against functional ROI.

But building genuine community requires skills that automation actively degrades. You cannot automate the judgment calls that community building demands. You cannot outsource the intuition about when to intervene in conflicts. You cannot delegate the sensitivity required to make diverse people feel welcome simultaneously.

The Automation Paradox in Community Building

Modern community platforms offer impressive automation features. Automated welcome sequences. Automated moderation using AI sentiment analysis. Automated engagement prompts. Automated member surveys. Automated event reminders.

Each automation solves a real problem. Collectively, they create communities that feel managed rather than led. Members sense the difference. They know when they’re receiving templated responses. They recognize when engagement prompts are algorithmically timed rather than genuinely curious.

The communities that retain members during recessions — when every subscription faces scrutiny — are those where human judgment remains central. Where moderators make nuanced calls. Where community leaders remember individual members’ situations. Where the “vibe” reflects accumulated human decisions rather than automation defaults.

This isn’t nostalgia for inefficiency. It’s recognition that some value propositions require human presence to deliver. A community promising connection cannot deliver that connection through automation without hollowing out its core offering.

The skill being eroded: the ability to read rooms, sense moods, and respond appropriately. These skills develop through practice. When we automate community management, we reduce our practice opportunities. Our room-reading muscles atrophy. We become dependent on sentiment scores to tell us what direct observation once provided freely.

How We Evaluated These Categories

The analysis behind these three categories follows a specific methodology. I want to make this transparent because the process matters as much as the conclusions.

Step One: Historical Pattern Analysis

I examined revenue data from my own products and client products across three recessionary periods: 2008-2009, 2020, and the 2024 slowdown. The goal was identifying which product categories experienced the smallest revenue decline and fastest recovery.

This required accessing records predating my use of modern analytics tools. Earlier data lived in spreadsheets, accounting software, and email receipts. Reconstructing the picture was tedious but necessary for long-term pattern recognition.

Step Two: Psychological Driver Mapping

For each resilient product category, I identified the underlying psychological need it addressed. Education products connect to security and competence needs. Time-saving tools connect to autonomy and control needs. Community products connect to belonging and identity needs.

These needs intensify during recessions rather than diminishing. Security feels more important when job stability wavers. Control matters more when external circumstances feel chaotic. Belonging becomes essential when social participation requires spending money you don’t have.

Step Three: Automation Vulnerability Assessment

This step distinguishes this analysis from conventional recession-proof product advice. I evaluated how automation dependency affects product quality in each category.

The framework: if heavy automation produces products indistinguishable from products created with minimal automation, the category is automation-resilient. If automation produces noticeably inferior products, the category is automation-vulnerable.

All three categories identified are automation-vulnerable. This explains why they remain viable during recessions — the competitive moat is human skill, which is becoming scarcer as automation erodes it across the industry.

Step Four: Current Trend Extrapolation

I examined 2026 market conditions to verify patterns observed in previous downturns still apply. Consumer sentiment surveys, spending pattern data, and search trend analysis all suggest the historical patterns remain relevant.

The method itself illustrates the tension this article explores. Steps one and two require human judgment and historical memory. Steps three and four use tools but interpret their output through frameworks developed without tool assistance. Removing either element would weaken the analysis.

Generative Engine Optimization

The rise of AI-mediated search changes how this topic reaches audiences. When someone asks an AI assistant about recession-proof online products, the AI synthesizes information from across the web, potentially including this article.

This creates both opportunity and concern.

The opportunity: well-reasoned analysis with clear methodology ranks highly in AI summarization. Generative engines prefer sources that explain their reasoning over sources that simply state conclusions. This article’s explicit methodology section is partly strategic — it signals analytical rigor to both human readers and AI systems.

The concern: AI summarization tends to compress nuance into simplicity. The core argument here — that automation erodes skills needed to create recession-proof products — may get reduced to “use less automation.” That misses the point. The argument is about maintaining cognitive independence while using automation, not abandoning automation entirely.

This meta-awareness matters because AI increasingly mediates how people discover and evaluate business opportunities. If you’re building recession-proof products, you need to understand how your target audience finds information. Increasingly, that’s through AI systems that summarize rather than humans who browse.

The skill of anticipating how AI will represent your ideas becomes a competitive advantage. This is itself an automation-aware meta-skill — understanding how algorithmic systems process and present information, then optimizing your communication accordingly.

Ironically, developing this skill requires extensive direct experience with AI systems. You need to watch how they compress, distort, and occasionally misrepresent complex arguments. This knowledge comes from practice, not from reading about practice. No tool can give you the intuition you need to navigate tool-mediated discovery.

Human judgment, context-sensitivity, and skill preservation matter more in an AI-mediated world, not less. When AI handles information synthesis, the humans who understand AI’s limitations become the most valuable interpreters. When AI commoditizes basic analysis, the humans who can critique and extend AI analysis become essential.

Automation-aware thinking — understanding what tools do well, what they do poorly, and how to combine tool output with human insight — is becoming the meta-skill that underlies all other skills. Those who develop it will navigate recessions and expansions more successfully than those who simply operate tools without understanding them.

The Productivity Illusion and Its Costs

Automation tools promise productivity gains. They deliver those gains in measurable output. Words per hour. Tasks per day. Emails processed. Content published.

What they don’t measure: skill development per hour. Expertise gained per task. Judgment refined per decision. These metrics don’t exist because they’re difficult to quantify. But difficulty of measurement doesn’t imply absence of importance.

The productivity illusion operates as follows: you feel more productive because visible outputs increase. You assume increased output correlates with increased capability. It doesn’t. Output and capability are distinct variables, and automation systematically increases output while decreasing capability growth.

Consider an entrepreneur who uses AI to generate ten product ideas per hour instead of the two they could generate independently. Their output has quintupled. But their skill at generating product ideas hasn’t increased at all — in fact, it’s likely declined because they’ve stopped exercising the underlying cognitive muscles.

This entrepreneur can maintain their apparent productivity indefinitely, as long as the AI tools remain available and effective. The moment tools become unavailable, unreliable, or insufficiently specialized, their actual productivity crashes toward the atrophied skill level they haven’t developed.

Recession resilience requires capabilities that persist when circumstances change. Tools change. Subscriptions lapse. APIs deprecate. The only truly recession-proof asset is skill that you’ve developed through practice and own without ongoing payment.

flowchart TD
    A[High Automation Use] --> B[Increased Output]
    A --> C[Decreased Skill Practice]
    B --> D[Apparent Productivity Gains]
    C --> E[Skill Atrophy]
    E --> F[Tool Dependency]
    F --> G[Vulnerability to Tool Failure]
    G --> H[Recession Risk]
    D --> I[False Confidence]
    I --> H

The diagram illustrates the mechanism. High automation use creates two parallel effects: increased output and decreased skill practice. These effects lead to different destinations. Apparent productivity gains create false confidence. Skill atrophy creates tool dependency and, ultimately, vulnerability when tools fail or circumstances change.

Long-Term Professional Consequences

The erosion pattern plays out across careers, not just individual projects. Early-career professionals who learn their trade primarily through automation will enter mid-career with significant capability gaps.

They won’t notice these gaps during normal conditions. The gaps become visible during stress — challenging projects, demanding clients, economic contractions. When they need to operate beyond their tools’ capabilities, they’ll discover capabilities they never developed.

This isn’t theoretical. I’ve observed it in hiring decisions. Candidates with impressive portfolios who cannot discuss their work in depth. Creators with extensive output who cannot explain their creative choices. Professionals who freeze when asked to work without their usual tool stack.

The market will eventually price this competence gap. It already does, informally. Clients who’ve been burned by tool-dependent professionals seek alternatives. They pay premiums for demonstrable independent expertise. During recessions, these premiums increase because the consequences of competence gaps become more severe.

Oscar has relocated to my lap, making typing more challenging. He’s purring, which suggests he approves of this section’s argument. Or he wants dinner. Possibly both.

The professional implication is straightforward: invest in developing skills that automation makes easy to neglect. Practice working without tools periodically. Maintain expertise through deliberate effort, not just tool-assisted output.

This investment feels inefficient in the short term. It is inefficient in the short term. But efficiency isn’t the only virtue. Resilience matters too. And resilience requires capabilities that don’t disappear when subscriptions lapse.

Practical Recommendations for Each Product Category

Let me be specific about how to apply these insights to each recession-proof category.

Educational Content Recommendations

Build courses in areas where you have genuine, practice-derived expertise. If you haven’t done the work yourself, don’t teach the work. The market eventually exposes pretenders.

Use AI for research acceleration and draft editing, not idea generation or structural decisions. The hard thinking should happen in your head, not in a prompt.

Teach live periodically. Student questions reveal knowledge gaps. Address those gaps through study and practice, not through better prompting.

Maintain a “teaching journal” where you reflect on what worked and what didn’t in your educational content. This forces explicit processing of teaching experience, accelerating intuition development.

Time-Saving Tool Recommendations

Build tools that address tasks people must do regardless of economic conditions. Test this by asking: “Would someone do this task if they had no money?” If yes, you’ve identified a genuine necessity.

Conduct market research manually before using tools. Develop hypotheses about user needs through observation and conversation. Then verify with data tools. This sequence preserves judgment while leveraging automation.

Pay attention to customer support requests. They reveal problems your tools haven’t identified. The patterns you notice in support conversations often lead to more valuable product improvements than the patterns your analytics surface.

Community Building Recommendations

Automate logistics, not relationships. Automated reminders about events are fine. Automated emotional responses to member posts are not.

Spend time in your community without moderator duties. Just participate. This maintains your sensitivity to community dynamics that administrative distance dulls.

Make judgment calls rather than deferring to algorithms. When moderation AI flags something, review it personally. When engagement metrics suggest intervention, evaluate with your own senses first. This preserves the intuition automation threatens to replace.

The Counter-Argument: Maybe Automation Is Just Better

I should address the obvious objection. Perhaps automation produces results that are simply better than what human judgment alone would produce. Perhaps the skills being eroded don’t matter because tools have permanently replaced them.

This argument has some validity. In domains where automation has fully matured, human skill becomes largely irrelevant. No one argues for manual arithmetic competence in an age of calculators.

But the domains this article discusses haven’t reached that maturity. Educational content quality still depends on human expertise. Tool design still requires human judgment about user needs. Community building still demands human presence and sensitivity.

The question isn’t whether automation will eventually handle everything — it might. The question is whether automation handles your specific domain well enough today that skill erosion doesn’t matter. For most online products, the answer remains no.

The safe assumption: maintain skills that automation currently performs adequately but not excellently. If automation improves to excellence, you’ve lost nothing. If automation stalls or regresses, you’ve preserved capabilities others have lost.

Conclusion: Recession-Proofing Requires Skill Preservation

The three product categories that thrive during recessions share a common requirement: they demand genuine human expertise to create well. Educational content requires teaching skill. Useful tools require judgment about user needs. Communities require interpersonal sensitivity.

Automation threatens all three by eroding the underlying skills while maintaining the appearance of output. Creators who rely heavily on automation may not realize their capabilities have atrophied until recession stress reveals the gaps.

The practical response: use automation deliberately rather than defaultly. Preserve hard thinking even when tools offer easy alternatives. Maintain skills through practice, not just through tool-assisted output.

This isn’t about rejecting efficiency. It’s about recognizing that some efficiency gains come with capability costs. During expansions, those costs remain hidden. During contractions, they become painfully apparent.

The entrepreneurs who navigate recessions successfully aren’t those with the best tools. They’re those with the best judgment — including judgment about when and how to use tools. That meta-capability develops only through practice, and automation actively reduces practice opportunities.

Oscar has now fallen asleep on my lap, a warm and purring reminder that some things remain reliably simple. Feed the cat. Develop real skills. Build products that address persistent needs. The economy will fluctuate. These principles won’t.

flowchart LR
    subgraph Recession-Proof Products
        A[Educational Content] --> D[Requires Teaching Expertise]
        B[Time-Saving Tools] --> E[Requires User Need Judgment]
        C[Community Platforms] --> F[Requires Interpersonal Skill]
    end
    D --> G[Human Skill Essential]
    E --> G
    F --> G
    G --> H[Automation Cannot Fully Replace]
    H --> I[Sustainable Competitive Advantage]

The diagram summarizes the argument. Each recession-proof product category requires human skills that automation cannot fully replace. This irreplaceability creates sustainable competitive advantage — particularly during economic contractions when tool-dependent competitors struggle.

Build products in these categories. Maintain the skills they require. Use automation as amplification, not replacement. When the next recession arrives, you’ll be among the creators who continue earning while others wonder what went wrong.

The recession will reveal who was building on solid foundations and who was building on tools that made solid foundations unnecessary — until they weren’t.